Generational Theory & the Upcoming Crisis

There are some pretty bold claims made by myself and others in the alt-right, but they’re not without data and theoretical backing.  This is a long video, but I tried to keep it as intellectually-dense as possible.  Generational cycle theory points out that we’re in a crisis, whose resolution will arrive sometime around the mid 2020’s, and there are several factors which show how unsustainable this whole thing is.

The Fourth Turning by Strauss & Howe

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Davis M.J. Aurini

Trained as a Historian at McMaster University, and as an Infantry soldier in the Canadian Forces, I'm a Scholar, Author, Film Maker, and a God fearing Catholic, who loves women for their illogical nature.

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11 Responses

  1. Dan says:

    Interesting, I wondered which generational sphere enveloped my outlook. I was born in 1965, I think two form an ellipse.

  2. This might be one of your all time great vids. Well worth the hour. Thank you for sharing.

  3. nazgulnarsil says:

    Most of this seems spot on but I do want to point out that most of the people living alternative lifestyles are still definitely discriminated against. You take even a place like san francisco that is supposedly the center of gay celebration and you still have a a lot of gay bashings happening. Almost every alt person I know has been beaten up at least once for their identity. Many have been sexually abused.

    OTOH I don’t want to completely dismiss your point. Yes, there is obviously a massive issue with mental problems among that community. I just think the solutions are less obvious than you seem to.

  4. zhai2nan2 says:

    God made man, but Samuel Colt made them equal.

    Bear in mind it’s not just the reliable gun, it’s the reliable metal cartridge. It’s much easier to keep a Glock in your pocket than a loaded flintlock.

    Another important factor is the breakdown of state-versus-state warfare. Read William S. Lind. Look at the USA in Somalia. The well-disciplined Yanks tried to fight Somalians as if they were Wehrmacht – and at first it was easy. Then the Somalians watched seven, then eight identical raids with identical tactics. Then the Somalians figured out how to fight back against predictable, rule-following invaders.

  5. zhai2nan2 says:

    As for the ethnic enclaves and the breaking up of the USA into a few big regions, that reminds me of the Russian thinker Igor Panarin.

    Harrison Bergeron was by Kurt Vonnegut, and it’s one of my favorites.

    “We, the Living” was by Ayn Rand. I don’t know if it has any connection to “social credit” or to Heinlein.

    As for “Brave New World” having stable, 1950s-style values, I can sort of squint and get a rough idea of what you’re getting at, but my inclination is to nitpick that for hours. Today, I don’t have several hours to spend on that, but it might be an optional project for a later date.

    Actually, scratch that. Forget analyzing sci-fi, if I spend more than an hour on this site, I’m going to spend it plugging William S. Lind. Let me give you a capsule introduction right now.

    http://www.academia.org/the-origins-of-political-correctness/

    Lind has been a professor at USA military schools. He is a very, very insight and independent thinker. About ten years ago, he was talking about “4th generation warfare,” and he also talks about “retroculture.” Lind is the elder statesman who inspired younger thinkers like John Robb. And as I keep repeating, John Robb’s “resilient community” idea is something that you, Davis, would heartily agree with.

  6. Matt says:

    I was finishing up my senior year of high school when William Strauss came to speak to my creative writing class. He said sometime in the next 5 – 10 years there would be a major event that would shape our generation. Within a year or two, four planes killed three thousand American citizens. Then, we hit the Great Recession.

    In interviews after September 11th, Williams Strauss wasn’t sure if that terrorist attack was the “turning point” for our generation. It would be interesting to hear what he’d have to say now. He didn’t live long enough to tell us. What a fascinating individual.

    I’m not sure what point we’re living in but I do know this – it feels like this is all building to something. Something very climatic. The president wants us to believe the worst is behind us. Yeah, yeah – go back to golf Mr. President.

    I think you’re right Aurini. I think we’re going to confront something very ugly in the next 15 or so years.

    Another interesting note – Williams Strauss never assumed we’d get through it intact.

  7. Aurini says:

    My bad – “For Us, the Living” was the book: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/For_Us,_The_Living:_A_Comedy_of_Customs

  8. It took me the better part of a week to carve out an hour to watch this, but it was worth every minute.

    I haven’t read “The Fourth Turning”. I’ve read plenty ABOUT it, but haven’t read it directly. I’ll have to up the priority.

    I believe in your premise, I would fit into the “prophet” generation (Gen X- born 1974). It seems like you spent very little time on the prophet generation, while focusing more on the hero and millennial generations, which seem to be the joint on which this cycle turns. Do you think the prophet generation doesn’t typically play much of a part?

  9. Mistah Kurtz He Dead says:

    Hey Aurini.

    Big fan of your videos. Found you on rooshvforum and then found that /pol/ likes you and talk about your videos. My worlds are colliding!

    Anyway. Like I said. Big fan of your work! Your most recent video on the JQuestion was very ballsy but also extremely informative.

    Ed: I’ve known about /pol/ for a while (4chon thinks I worship satan); but RooshV? I’m honoured (/pol/ is easier entry fee, lower retention of traffic); I’d love a link.

  1. March 18, 2013

    […] Stares at the World » Generational Theory & the Upcoming Crisis […]

  2. June 28, 2017

    […] to Strauss & Howe’s generational theory, the Millennials are a Hero generation; a generation that gets down to business and does what needs […]